diff --git a/src/pages/Supplies.tsx b/src/pages/Supplies.tsx
index 4fff5d7..91cab03 100644
--- a/src/pages/Supplies.tsx
+++ b/src/pages/Supplies.tsx
@@ -201,6 +201,81 @@ const ModuleCard = ({
   );
 };
 
+const FlowStepCard = ({
+  number,
+  title,
+  description,
+  meta,
+  icon: Icon,
+  to,
+  tone = 'default',
+}: {
+  number: string;
+  title: string;
+  description: string;
+  meta: string;
+  icon: typeof Package;
+  to: string;
+  tone?: 'default' | 'critical' | 'attention' | 'ready';
+}) => {
+  const tones = {
+    default: 'border-dark-border bg-dark-card text-brand-primary',
+    critical: 'border-red-400/30 bg-red-500/[0.055] text-red-300',
+    attention: 'border-amber-400/30 bg-amber-500/[0.055] text-amber-300',
+    ready: 'border-emerald-400/30 bg-emerald-500/[0.055] text-emerald-300',
+  };
+
+  return (
+    <RouterLink to={to} className={`${panelClassName} group flex min-h-44 flex-col p-5 transition-colors hover:border-brand-primary/70`}>
+      <div className="flex items-start justify-between gap-4">
+        <span className="text-xs font-bold tracking-[0.18em] text-dark-muted">{number}</span>
+        <div className={`flex h-10 w-10 items-center justify-center rounded-xl border ${tones[tone]}`}>
+          <Icon className="h-5 w-5" />
+        </div>
+      </div>
+      <div className="mt-5">
+        <h3 className="text-base font-bold text-dark-text">{title}</h3>
+        <p className="mt-1.5 text-sm font-semibold leading-5 text-dark-muted">{description}</p>
+      </div>
+      <div className="mt-auto flex items-center justify-between gap-3 pt-5">
+        <span className={`text-xs font-bold ${tone === 'critical' ? 'text-red-300' : tone === 'attention' ? 'text-amber-300' : tone === 'ready' ? 'text-emerald-300' : 'text-dark-text'}`}>{meta}</span>
+        <ArrowRight className="h-4 w-4 shrink-0 text-dark-muted transition-transform group-hover:translate-x-0.5 group-hover:text-brand-primary" />
+      </div>
+    </RouterLink>
+  );
+};
+
+const FlowBlocker = ({
+  title,
+  description,
+  count,
+  to,
+  tone,
+}: {
+  title: string;
+  description: string;
+  count: number;
+  to: string;
+  tone: 'critical' | 'attention' | 'info';
+}) => {
+  const tones = {
+    critical: 'border-red-400/25 bg-red-500/[0.045] text-red-300',
+    attention: 'border-amber-400/25 bg-amber-500/[0.045] text-amber-300',
+    info: 'border-sky-400/25 bg-sky-500/[0.045] text-sky-300',
+  };
+
+  return (
+    <RouterLink to={to} className={`flex items-center gap-3 rounded-xl border px-3.5 py-3 transition-colors hover:border-brand-primary/60 ${tones[tone]}`}>
+      <span className="flex h-7 min-w-7 items-center justify-center rounded-lg bg-dark-card text-xs font-bold text-dark-text">{formatNumber(count, 0)}</span>
+      <span className="min-w-0 flex-1">
+        <span className="block text-sm font-bold text-dark-text">{title}</span>
+        <span className="block truncate text-xs font-semibold text-dark-muted">{description}</span>
+      </span>
+      <ArrowRight className="h-4 w-4 shrink-0" />
+    </RouterLink>
+  );
+};
+
 const SuppliesHub = () => {
   const [isExportingDiagnostic, setIsExportingDiagnostic] = useState(false);
   const [diagnosticError, setDiagnosticError] = useState('');
@@ -224,10 +299,63 @@ const SuppliesHub = () => {
   }, []);
 
   const materialPurchaseNeeds = summary.purchaseNeeds.filter(need => !need.missingReference && !isServicePurchaseNeed(need) && need.purchaseKg > 0);
+  const negativeMaterialNeeds = materialPurchaseNeeds.filter(need => need.stockKg < 0);
+  const noStockMaterialNeeds = materialPurchaseNeeds.filter(need => need.stockKg === 0);
   const mappingSkuCount = new Set(summary.purchaseNeeds
     .filter(need => need.missingReference)
     .flatMap(need => (need.products || []).map(product => product.productId))
     .filter(Boolean)).size;
+  const activeProductionCount = productionCounts.open + productionCounts.inProgress;
+  const nextAction = negativeMaterialNeeds.length > 0
+    ? {
+      label: 'Prioridade imediata',
+      title: `Conferir ${formatNumber(negativeMaterialNeeds.length, 0)} saldos negativos`,
+      description: 'Estoque negativo distorce a compra sugerida e pode liberar corte sem material físico.',
+      meta: 'Abrir compra de materiais',
+      icon: AlertTriangle,
+      to: '/supplies/purchase-needs',
+      tone: 'critical' as const,
+    }
+    : mappingSkuCount > 0
+      ? {
+        label: 'Próxima ação',
+        title: `Mapear o consumo de ${formatNumber(mappingSkuCount, 0)} SKUs`,
+        description: 'Sem composição confiável, a necessidade de compra e o corte não representam a demanda real.',
+        meta: 'Abrir pendências de composição',
+        icon: LinkIcon,
+        to: '/supplies/purchase-needs',
+        tone: 'info' as const,
+      }
+      : materialPurchaseNeeds.length > 0
+        ? {
+          label: 'Próxima ação',
+          title: `Comprar ${formatNumber(materialPurchaseNeeds.length, 0)} materiais`,
+          description: 'A necessidade já desconta saldo e recebimentos para apoiar a decisão de compra.',
+          meta: 'Ver lista de compra',
+          icon: BarChart3,
+          to: '/supplies/purchase-needs',
+          tone: 'attention' as const,
+        }
+        : activeProductionCount > 0
+          ? {
+            label: 'Próxima ação',
+            title: `Acompanhar ${formatNumber(activeProductionCount, 0)} ordens em execução`,
+            description: 'Há produção aberta ou em andamento para confirmar antes de planejar uma nova rodada.',
+            meta: 'Abrir ordens de produção',
+            icon: ClipboardList,
+            to: '/production-orders',
+            tone: 'ready' as const,
+          }
+          : {
+            label: 'Próxima ação',
+            title: 'Definir o próximo corte',
+            description: 'Use a demanda e a cobertura para escolher os SKUs que devem entrar em produção.',
+            meta: 'Abrir plano de corte',
+            icon: Scissors,
+            to: '/cutting',
+            tone: 'default' as const,
+          };
+  const NextActionIcon = nextAction.icon;
 
   const handleExportDiagnostic = async () => {
     setIsExportingDiagnostic(true);
@@ -262,17 +390,44 @@ const SuppliesHub = () => {
         {diagnosticError}
       </div>
     )}
-    <section>
-      <div className="mb-3 flex items-end justify-between gap-4">
+    <section className="grid gap-4 xl:grid-cols-[minmax(0,1.35fr)_minmax(320px,.65fr)]">
+      <RouterLink to={nextAction.to} className={`group rounded-2xl border p-6 shadow-sm transition-colors hover:border-brand-primary/70 ${nextAction.tone === 'critical' ? 'border-red-400/30 bg-red-500/[0.055]' : nextAction.tone === 'attention' ? 'border-amber-400/30 bg-amber-500/[0.055]' : nextAction.tone === 'ready' ? 'border-emerald-400/30 bg-emerald-500/[0.055]' : nextAction.tone === 'info' ? 'border-sky-400/30 bg-sky-500/[0.055]' : 'border-brand-primary/30 bg-brand-primary/[0.045]'}`}>
+        <div className="flex items-start justify-between gap-5">
+          <div>
+            <p className="text-xs font-bold uppercase tracking-[0.14em] text-dark-muted">{nextAction.label}</p>
+            <h2 className="mt-2 text-xl font-bold text-dark-text">{nextAction.title}</h2>
+            <p className="mt-2 max-w-2xl text-sm font-semibold leading-6 text-dark-muted">{nextAction.description}</p>
+          </div>
+          <div className={`flex h-12 w-12 shrink-0 items-center justify-center rounded-xl border ${nextAction.tone === 'critical' ? 'border-red-400/30 bg-red-500/10 text-red-300' : nextAction.tone === 'attention' ? 'border-amber-400/30 bg-amber-500/10 text-amber-300' : nextAction.tone === 'ready' ? 'border-emerald-400/30 bg-emerald-500/10 text-emerald-300' : nextAction.tone === 'info' ? 'border-sky-400/30 bg-sky-500/10 text-sky-300' : 'border-brand-primary/30 bg-brand-primary/10 text-brand-primary'}`}>
+            <NextActionIcon className="h-6 w-6" />
+          </div>
+        </div>
+        <div className="mt-6 flex items-center gap-2 text-sm font-bold text-dark-text">
+          {nextAction.meta}
+          <ArrowRight className="h-4 w-4 transition-transform group-hover:translate-x-0.5 group-hover:text-brand-primary" />
+        </div>
+      </RouterLink>
+      <div className={`${panelClassName} p-5`}>
         <div>
-          <h2 className="text-base font-bold text-dark-text">Ações de hoje</h2>
-          <p className="mt-1 text-sm font-semibold text-dark-muted">Comprar materiais, definir o corte e acompanhar a produção.</p>
+          <h2 className="text-base font-bold text-dark-text">Pontos que bloqueiam o fluxo</h2>
+          <p className="mt-1 text-sm font-semibold text-dark-muted">Resolva estes pontos antes de confiar no plano.</p>
+        </div>
+        <div className="mt-4 space-y-2">
+          <FlowBlocker title="Saldos a conferir" description="Materiais com estoque negativo" count={negativeMaterialNeeds.length} to="/supplies/purchase-needs" tone="critical" />
+          <FlowBlocker title="Dados para mapear" description="SKUs sem composição confiável" count={mappingSkuCount} to="/supplies/purchase-needs" tone="info" />
+          <FlowBlocker title="Materiais sem saldo" description="Itens necessários sem disponibilidade" count={noStockMaterialNeeds.length} to="/supplies/purchase-needs" tone="attention" />
         </div>
       </div>
+    </section>
+    <section>
+      <div className="mb-3">
+        <h2 className="text-base font-bold text-dark-text">Fluxo operacional</h2>
+        <p className="mt-1 text-sm font-semibold text-dark-muted">Da necessidade de material até a produção acompanhada.</p>
+      </div>
       <div className="grid grid-cols-1 gap-4 xl:grid-cols-3">
-        <ModuleCard title="Comprar materiais" description="Necessidades de matéria-prima calculadas a partir da demanda e da composição." icon={BarChart3} to="/supplies/purchase-needs" priority meta={`${formatNumber(materialPurchaseNeeds.length, 0)} materiais para comprar${mappingSkuCount ? ` · ${formatNumber(mappingSkuCount, 0)} SKUs para mapear` : ''}`} />
-        <ModuleCard title="Planejar corte" description="Defina quais SKUs, cores e tamanhos priorizar conforme demanda e disponibilidade de material." icon={Scissors} to="/cutting" priority meta="Revise bloqueios de material antes de gerar OPs" />
-        <ModuleCard title="Acompanhar produção" description="Consulte ordens geradas pelo corte e acompanhe o andamento da fabricação." icon={ClipboardList} to="/production-orders" priority meta={`${formatNumber(productionCounts.open, 0)} abertas · ${formatNumber(productionCounts.inProgress, 0)} em andamento`} />
+        <FlowStepCard number="01" title="Garantir materiais" description="Confira saldos, pendências de composição e a compra sugerida." icon={BarChart3} to="/supplies/purchase-needs" tone={negativeMaterialNeeds.length > 0 ? 'critical' : materialPurchaseNeeds.length > 0 ? 'attention' : 'ready'} meta={negativeMaterialNeeds.length > 0 ? `${formatNumber(negativeMaterialNeeds.length, 0)} saldos negativos` : materialPurchaseNeeds.length > 0 ? `${formatNumber(materialPurchaseNeeds.length, 0)} materiais para comprar` : 'Materiais cobertos'} />
+        <FlowStepCard number="02" title="Definir corte" description="Priorize SKUs, cores e tamanhos com necessidade e material disponível." icon={Scissors} to="/cutting" tone={mappingSkuCount > 0 ? 'attention' : 'default'} meta={mappingSkuCount > 0 ? `${formatNumber(mappingSkuCount, 0)} SKUs precisam de mapeamento` : 'Abrir plano de corte'} />
+        <FlowStepCard number="03" title="Acompanhar produção" description="Gerencie as OPs criadas a partir do corte até sua finalização." icon={ClipboardList} to="/production-orders" tone={activeProductionCount > 0 ? 'ready' : 'default'} meta={activeProductionCount > 0 ? `${formatNumber(productionCounts.open, 0)} abertas · ${formatNumber(productionCounts.inProgress, 0)} em andamento` : 'Nenhuma OP em execução'} />
       </div>
     </section>
     <section className="border-t border-dark-border pt-6">